The interest rate swap market predicts that the probability of the Bank of Canada cutting interest rates further in January next year is about 70%.Apple iPhone SE 4 is reported to be released with its own modem around March next year. Apple iPhone SE 4 is reported to be officially released around March next year, and the new machine may bring a major upgrade to SE series. The new machine will adopt Liu Haiping design, introduce Face ID and cancel the Home button with Touch ID, but there is no smart island function. According to gourmain, Apple has designed a new modem code-named Sinope, which is seamlessly integrated with other components of its own. This design not only saves space, but also reduces power consumption. Compared with the Qualcomm modem currently used by Apple, Sinope still has a big gap, and the performance of related chips is inferior to that of Qualcomm. For example, Sinope only supports the Sub-6 GHz 5G band, but does not support millimeter mmWave. Although the performance of related modems is not as good as that of Qualcomm, gourmain thinks that the biggest advantage of Apple's self-developed scheme is to reduce its dependence on Qualcomm, thus saving licensing fees.Bank of Canada: Other federal and provincial policies will affect the dynamics of demand and inflation; The central bank will pay attention to potential trends. The decline in the level of immigration shows that the GDP growth in 2025 will be lower than the forecast of the central bank in October; Its impact on inflation will be more moderate.
The price of natural gas futures in the United States continued to rise, with an increase of 5%.If the Bank of Canada cuts interest rates by 50bp as expected, it is expected that the pace of interest rate cuts will slow down. The Bank of Canada cut interest rates sharply for the second time in a row this month, and hinted that policymakers are prepared to slow down the pace of monetary easing. The bank cut interest rates by 50 basis points to 3.25%, bringing borrowing costs to the upper part of their expected range of neutral interest rates. However, they also hinted that after the sharp interest rate cut expected by the market and most economists, there may be a smaller interest rate cut again in 2025. Officials dropped their previous statement that they expected to further reduce borrowing costs. "With the policy interest rate greatly reduced, we expect that if the economic development is generally in line with expectations, monetary policy will adopt a more gradual approach," Bank of Canada Governor Mackler said in a prepared speech. "Looking ahead, we will evaluate the necessity of further reducing the policy interest rate one by one."The China Securities Association held two meetings: to promote the standardized development of the regional equity market and actively promote the transformation of wealth management in the industry. According to the news released by the China Securities Association on December 11th, the meeting of the chairman and all members of the regional equity market professional committee of the China Securities Association was held a few days ago. The meeting introduced the work of the Committee in 2024, discussed the focus of the next stage, and exchanged experiences on specific issues such as research exchange and blockchain construction. Members attending the meeting unanimously stated that they will do a good job in the cultivation and standardized management of the capital market, actively guard against business risks, and promote the standardized and healthy development of the regional equity market.
Mackler, Governor of the Bank of Canada: The current policy focus is to keep inflation close to the target. Mackler, Governor of the Bank of Canada: Due to the sales tax holiday, the overall rate is expected to slow down to 1.5% in January. We will focus on core inflation indicators to help us evaluate CPI trends. It is expected that the inflation rate will drop at the end of the sales tax holiday. The current policy focus is to keep inflation close to the target. We hope to see economic growth accelerate to absorb unused capacity in the economy and keep the inflation rate at around 2%.The China Securities Association held two meetings: to promote the standardized development of the regional equity market and actively promote the transformation of wealth management in the industry. According to the news released by the China Securities Association on December 11th, the meeting of the chairman and all members of the regional equity market professional committee of the China Securities Association was held a few days ago. The meeting introduced the work of the Committee in 2024, discussed the focus of the next stage, and exchanged experiences on specific issues such as research exchange and blockchain construction. Members attending the meeting unanimously stated that they will do a good job in the cultivation and standardized management of the capital market, actively guard against business risks, and promote the standardized and healthy development of the regional equity market.After the announcement of the Bank of Canada's interest rate decision, USD/CAD fell 50 points to 1.4140.